Thursday, March 10, 2005

How to get Bin Laden.

I've been thinking. We can't seem to pry him out of the tribal border areas of Afghanistan and Pakistan, so what should we be doing?

Well, from a military standpoint, here is my suggestion for what it is worth. Our special forces need to keep the main choke points between the tribal areas of Pakistan and Afghanistan under continual surveillance. Check points at every border crossing needs continual monitoring so there would be nowhere for his messangers to cross without taking the backroads that our special forces would be monitoring. Even if it takes 2 more years.

Find Mullah Omar and you will find clues to Bin Laden. He's hiding in Afghanistan. He would not dare leave because it would admit defeat for his cause. Can't kill him. Turn him over to the new Afghan government for trial for all those beheadings they had there before 9/11 and destroying those rare budist rock carvings. Anything he has in his possession pointing toward outside assistance has to be coming from OBL. Where else might it come from?

The tribal areas in Pakistan need continued Pakistan Army intrusions. Our helicopters and their troops to isolate specific tribal areas, surround, and search foot by foot. Pay the tribes off to give us individual in their midst. How can a tribal leader turn down a million bucks for a village made of mud bricks? Gradually, root out the couriers and safe houses. If the tribes don'e cooperate... well, that is likely. Then more persuasive means must be found. Confiscate all their weapons and leave the army there for a few weeks. Destroy their opium crops, but pay them for other cash crops. If that does not work, then, pull out the army and leave them without weapons and go to the next village. Someone in those villages knows something and will give us hints. That is all we need.

His SUV. How many times have I heard that he travels in a convoy of black SUV's. How many black SUV's are there in the tribal areas? We must have cataloged all of them by now by air. Sneak in and put lojack on each in the dark of night with a listening device and a satellite relay nearby. Eliminate each one systematically. Maybe there are 40 or 50 in that area. But we could target the most likely first. You get every position of each exactly and you can listen to what is said inside of each. They can't be guarding their wheels nearly as tightly as they are guarding OBL.

Spies. So how can we put boots on the ground in these tribal areas? It has to be someone that would not normally be suspected. What boots on the ground might pass scrutiny? How about legless criples that are nothing more than beggars? I'm sure we've found a few in Afghanistan that had their family killed by the Taliban that has nothing left in their life to look forward to than payback. Send them to some of the chokepoint villages with instructions to hunt out the foreigners or Arabs in their midst. Tell them to be in a certain part of the village as a signal during certain times of the day. We can watch with out overhead assets and determine if there is something to be found in each village and systematically work our way northeast through the tribal areas. He does not have to know much other than what he to look for and how to signal our assets. Might work. They'd be beyond scrutiny. Now I'm getting nutty.

Electronic tools. OBL has been using cassette tapes for awhile. I don't think he wants anyone to guess on where he might be by the background or trees or hillsides, etc. Lets sell a series of digital video recorders in the tribal areas. Sell maybe 40-50 or so. Tell the villagers they fell off a truck. Each has a code that tells us where it is located at all times that can be found on the videos that are released. We've got to be able to build something this simple. It sounds James Bondish, but I'll bet we could do it. One of those digital video players will definitely be obtained somewhere for OBL and end up making his next video. How could it not?

Check out that valley on the last video he shot outside. We have this cruise missle mapping software that can look at the shape of a valley or mountains and know exactly where it is. This was from before global positioning. We should be able to match that background where he is climbing down through the boulder field and trees to a position on a map. Then we go in and interview the locals. They must know the direction OBL came from before arriving and the direction he left when departing. Narrows things down a bit.

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